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Tugby's Tips: Crystal Palace v West Ham

22 August 2014

If you’d followed the tips of Palace Programme editor Luke Tugby last season by placing a £10 bet on each of his selections, you would have ended the campaign in profit to the tune of more than £100.

This season, Luke is back - and here's his first betting blog of the 2014/15 campaign as he looks to get off to a winning start in Saturday’s game against West Ham United. 

Following the departure of Tony Pulis as manager just two days before the Premier League opener against Arsenal last weekend, I was among those who feared for Palace going to the Emirates.

But, just as Keith Millen proved in his caretaker stint last year, he has what it takes to lead this group of players. Believe me, he and the group are bang up for their first home game of the season this weekend. 

Millen’s Palace are 7/5 with SkyBet to take all three points against the Hammers – a price I feel would have been shorter without the losses of Pulis and sporting director Iain Moody over the past 10 days – so it is well worth snapping up. 

The Eagles triumphed in the corresponding fixture last season as Marouane Chamakh netted the only goal in a 1-0 victory – and you can get 28/1 on an identical scorecast tomorrow.

One-nil was of course the scoreline when Palace secured victory at the Boleyn Ground in April this year too. If you fancy a third consecutive 1-0 win over the Hammers, you’ll be rewarded with odds of 11/2, while Palace to win by a one-goal margin is priced up at 3/1.

Fraizer Campbell is likely to lead the line for the Eagles again on Saturday after a workman-like display up front on his own against Arsenal – and he has history in making an impact on his home debuts for previous clubs.

The former Cardiff City frontman bagged a brace in his first home game for Hull back in October 2008 and repeated the feat with the Bluebirds in February 2013 when his two-goal salvo secured all three points against Bristol City.

He also netted twice on his home Premier League debut for the Welsh side when they beat Manchester City almost a year ago to the day, so the ex-Manchester United man has a trend to maintain. Campbell is 10/1 to bag yet another brace tomorrow, 6/1 to score the first goal or 7/4 to find the net at any time against West Ham.   

Although Pulis has left the dugout, the same steel, determination and defensive organisation remains in this Palace team. The Eagles kept clean sheets in six of their home matches following Pulis’ arrival, beginning with that 1-0 win over West Ham. They are 3/1 to win to nil again this weekend – a price not to be sniffed at when you consider the Hammers are without their main striker, Andy Carroll. 

Tugby’s Tip of the Day: Crystal Palace to win by exactly one goal or to win to nil both appeal to me at 3/1. If it’s a toss-up between the two, I’d go for the latter. 

Value Bet of the Day: Fraizer Campbell to continue his remarkable run of home debut braces at 10/1. 

Long Shot of the Day: I can’t see this match being a particularly high-scoring affair. Both teams to score in both halves is priced up at 25/1 for a reason, but you never know. 

All odds courtesy of SkyBet. CLICK HERE to place your bets or register. New customers benefit from a free matched bet worth up to £30!

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