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Tugby's Tips: Hull City

27 January 2014

Former bookmaker and Palace Programme editor Luke Tugby talks us through his tips ahead of this weekend's clash with Hull City. 

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Crystal Palace are the bookies’ favourites to secure another vital victory against Hull City on Tuesday night. The Eagles are 7/5 to take all three points, while Steve Bruce’s visitors are available at 19/10. The draw is priced up at 23/10. 

Goals will almost certainly be few and far between tomorrow night, with only nine goals scored in the last six Premier League games at Selhurst Park. Palace have kept clean sheets in four of those matches and they are 5/2 to win to nil for the seventh time this season.

Those odds look even more tempting when you consider that Hull have failed to score in their last three league games, since the 6-0 thrashing of Fulham on 28th December. The Tigers are 6/4 to draw a fourth consecutive blank against one of the Premier League’s most in-form defences.   

Hull’s striking options have been boosted this month though with the acquisitions of Nikica Jelavic and Shane Long – and both men will be eager to open their accounts for their new club as soon as possible. Former Everton man Jelavic is available at 6/1 to open the scoring and 7/4 to score in 90 minutes, while Long is even better priced at 15/2 to bag the first goal of the game and 5/2 to score a debut goal.

For Palace, Marouane Chamakh heads the first goalscorer list once again and can be backed at 6/1 to break the deadlock on Tuesday night. Jason Puncheon, who has scored in two of his last three Premier League games, looks good value to me at 8/1 to replicate his Stoke City heroics. 

Speaking of repeat performances, a Puncheon 1-0 scorecast will return 30/1 with SkyBet, while if you fancy a carbon copy of the result at the KC Stadium in November, Barry Bannan to score the only goal in a 1-0 win is on offer at a bumper 70/1. 

Tugby’s Tip of the day: I tipped Palace to win by exactly one goal against Stoke City and I’m going to stick with the same bet this week. SkyBet offer 11/4 on that winning margin. 

Value bet of the day: Palace to win to nil at 5/2. It’s not a price that screams value, but given that each of Palace’s last six victories have all come to nil, plus the fact that Hull haven’t scored in their last three in the league, that price could have been much shorter. 

Long shot of the day: Goals have been in relatively short supply for both sides this season, so the 28/1 on offer for both teams to score in both halves looks a pretty optimistic selection.

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